30 - July 26th thru August 1st 1999,
Vol IX
The
First Yemeni Human
Development Report Launched
By: Ismail Al-Ghabiry
Yemen Times
The
first Yemeni Human Development Report, which seeks to disseminate and consolidate
the concept of human development in Yemen, will certainly be useful to
the Yemeni Government and to the economic and social planners in the country
through its theoretical and conceptual outlook and its prognosis of the
situation, supported by empirical studies and official statistics thereof.
The most difficult problem encountered in the preparation of the report
lies in the lack of and dearth in statistics and data, in some areas, or
inaccuracy and inconsistency in others. Moreover, this has often led to
reliance on induction and personal estimation of some indices, as exhibited
in the Technical Notes of the report. This gives a chance to point out
to those in charge of statistics in the country the importance of such
figures and data without which it would be difficult to formulate policies
and draw plans, especially at this critical stage of human history when
we bid farewell to the twentieth century.
Contents of the Report
The
report contains seven chapters. The first chapter deals with conclusions
reached by the debates on the concept of human development and its measurement.
It also includes discussions of the relation between human development
and other concepts such as sustainable economic development, basic human
needs of the welfare state, development of human resources, and equality
and democracy. This chapter shows that the concept of human development
has benefited greatly from these concepts, outlooks and strategies. In
other words, it has evolved essentially through these concepts and strategies.
The chapter comes to the conclusion that the concept of human development
looks at development in a new perspective, one that is more humane and
more comprehensive in outlook when compared to previous outlooks and concepts.
In the Second chapter, the focus is on presenting the most recent figures
on population and manpower. The chapter is divided into two parts. The
first part, addresses change in trends in the size and growth of the population
of Yemen. It is divided into four sections. The first section reviews and
analyzes the main indices related to population in terms of size, growth,
characteristics, age distribution and gender structure. Some prominent
indicators reflect the following:
- The population of Yemen reached 15.8
million in 1994 as compared to 12.2 million in 1988 with a growth rate
of 3.7% for the period. Population size is doubling every 19 years, according
to these figures.
The fourth and final section of this part analyzes the emigration of
Yemenis abroad, while at the same time not ignoring the issue of returnees,
particularly that which occurred during the Second Gulf Crisis (1990 -
1991). It shows that the number of Yemeni emigrants had reached 1.5 million
prior to 1990, most of whom settled in the neighboring oil states, especially
Saudi Arabia. Their remittances had contributed significantly to the improvement
of the living standards of their families at home, and generally boosted
Yemen's economy. However, as a result of the Second Gulf Crisis, Yemen
became witness to one of the largest influxes of returning expatriates.
The number of those suddenly returning from the Gulf States within a short
period of time was estimated at 800,000, most of who came from Saudi Arabia.
This resulted in many adverse effects and several problems for both the
returnees and the national economy.
The second part of this chapter, which focuses on the labor market,
is divided into three main sections. The first of these provides an analysis
of the labor force in terms of size, characteristics and participation.
It shows that the labor force in 1998 reached 4,364 thousands compared
to 3,553 thousands in 1994, that is an average annual increase of 5% which
exceeds the population growth rate. Participation rate in the labor force
constituted 24.4% of the total population in 1994, while reaching 37.6%
of the total population over 10 years of age, ranging between 29.0% and
7.6% for males and females, respectively. This reflects an obviously lower
percentage of women's participation in the labor force and also the insignificant
share taken up by child labor (10 - 14 years old).
Finally this section discusses the characteristics of the labor force
among which is the high illiteracy rate where 80.3% of the total working
labor in 1994 is either illiterate or only able to read and write.
The second section explores the characteristics of the labor market
and the problems of employment, whereas the third and final section looks
into unemployment in terms of size, causes and characteristics of the unemployed.
There were 325,000 people unemployed in 1994, a percentage of 9.1% of the
manpower. The illiterates make the highest rate of unemployment rate in
urban areas which is higher (11.5%) than that in rural areas (8.4%), while
it doubles among females compared to males. In this respect, the report
concludes that unemployment is one of the major economic and social problems
facing the Yemeni society.
The third chapter comprises three parts, which deal with economic growth,
public expenditures and poverty respectively. The first part is divided
into three main sections, discussing the economic conditions of the nineties,
the Economic Reform Program and an assessment of this program. The first
section concludes that there was a slowdown in the path of economic growth
in the country, especially during the period 1990-95. The economy could
not increase nor even maintain the level of personal income, especially
in light of the high rate of population growth.
The third section comes to the conclusion that the Economic, Financial
and Administrative Reform Program, which went into effect in March 1995,
has accomplished its objectives with respect to the financial, monetary,
pricing, balance of payments and foreign currency reserve indices. Among
its results is a budget deficit reduction, suppressing public expenditures,
controlling inflation, encouraging improvement in external debt, and stability
of the floating exchange rate. However, the program has its negative effects
on the social aspects and the livelihood of the people, especially the
low-income earners and the poor.
The part dealing with public expenditures and human development comprises
three sections. The first provides analysis of public expenditures in accordance
with the economic and social priorities, and concludes with a discussion
of the low expenditures on social services. While the share of the health
sector stood at 4% of total public expenditures (1% of the GDP), the share
of education declined from 19% of 16% over the last two years. The second
section is concerned with human priority index, showing that the slow progress
of the index from 1990-94 was not sustainable due to the financial imbalances
suffered by the economy.
The third part of this chapter takes up the issue of poverty. It is
a chronic socio-economic problem confronting the Yemen people. The definition
of poverty adopted in the report is not confined to deprivation from consuming
goods and service. It also includes deprivation from choice and participation.
With this definition, the measurement of poverty extends to include aspects
of education, health, political empowerment and the practice of human rights,
etc. This part overviews the historical background of poverty in Yemen
before the sixties and up to the reunification of the country in 1990.
It also identifies the structural determinants of poverty in Yemen represented
in the scarcity of natural resources, structural economic shortcomings,
and the temporary determinants of poverty which resulted from the economic
crisis during the first half of the nineties and from the Economic Reform
Program. These two led to the creation of factors such as the decline of
average real income, widespread unemployment and lifting of subsidies from
basic goods and services, all leading to further burdens on the poor.
The second part of this chapter continues to show the levels of poverty
existing in Yemen from 1992 to 1998, pointing to three most important aspects.
The first reviews the measurement and indices of poverty in Yemen used
in the report, which is a measurement based on individual and household
consumption expenditures. The second aspect critiques the results of the
World Bank study on poverty indices and levels in Yemen 1992. The study
has concluded that 2.6 million Yemenis live below the poverty line, while
about 1.5 million suffer from absolute poverty.
The fourth and final section addresses the poverty alleviation programs
and policies in Yemen. In this respect, the report states that the Yemeni
Government has, especially since the Economic Reform Program, turned towards
carrying out a number of programs to fight poverty, or at least mitigate
its effects through a number of measures, such as: the Social Welfare Fund,
the Social Fund for Development, the Public Works Project, and the Social
Increments for Government and Public and Mixed Sector employees.
Notwithstanding the need for the establishment of social mechanisms
to compensate the poor and low income groups suffering from adverse effects
brought by the Economic Reform Policies, they are seen as steps in the
right direction to counteract such effects. However, their role is still
limited, and yet it is too early to assess their impact on the alleviation
of poverty.
The fourth chapter of the report goes on to show, in figures, the most
up to date picture of human development in relation to education. Yemen's
educational situation is discussed quantitatively and qualitatively, including
the areas of basic, secondary, vocational and technical education as well
as higher education. It does not overlook private sector investment in
the sector, especially in basic and secondary levels. This chapter is divided
into five sections, the first one deals with illiteracy and assesses its
programs. In this regard, the report mentions that despite considerable
efforts, illiteracy rate remained high at 56% in 1994. Among males the
rate in 43.3%, whereas among females it rises to 82.9%. It should be noted
that the general illiteracy rate decline during the period 1988-94 from
67% to 56%. The report confirms that the outcome of the literacy programs
is still rather limited due to a number of reasons.
The fifth chapter analyzes the situation of health care services, and
the country's general health conditions, supported by the latest official
figures on health. It focuses on the foundations of the health care services,
in terms of institutions, staffing, health system and medicine. On the
other hand, the chapter assesses the general health conditions of the population
in the areas of immunization, maternity care, infant mortality, water and
sanitation.... etc.
The sixth chapter deals with the environment, in view of its direct
link with human development. Sustainable development means meeting the
needs of the present generation without jeopardizing the capabilities and
opportunities of future generations. The first of the four section contained
in this chapter discusses the direct link between the environment and both
human development and population. It explains how environment protection
and development are integrated elements, and are closely tied in terms
of their effect on each other. Moreover, the environment is not an economic
sector, but a dynamic dimension of cross-sectoral development. The chapter
confirms the close relationship between the environment and population
based on the fact that population growth affects the environment in several
respects, such as increasing the burden on the available natural resources,
water shortages, sanitation drainage, pollution resulting from industry,
energy and transportation. It also draws attention to the growing population
of Yemen at the rate of 3.7% per annum, which will have an adverse effect
on development efforts, and will place additional burden on environment
protection measures, especially in the light of the current economic conditions
of the country.
The seventh and final chapter discusses and analyzes an important topic,
the transformation of a civil society and democracy. The significance of
the topic stems from two factors, the first being the participation of
people in development, an issues linked with the concept and context of
human development. The second factor shows how Yemen, after reunification
in 1990, witnessed confirmation and transformation in some crucial sectors
that are linked to the crux of human development, such as democracy, human
rights and civil liberty. The chapter is divided into tow sections. The
first relates to the definition of the civil society and the factors leading
to its appearance in Yemen, its institutions, and its relationship with
the tribe and the role of law in the society. It also points out the importance
of local governance (centralization and decentralization) in Yemen, and
discusses the nature of the current political and social system and human
rights.
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