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A
TRAP?
Several prominent journalists and analysts have exposed an interesting,
yet quite valid point of view regarding the USA's upcoming military action
against Afghanistan. Those believe that the US is heading towards an inevitable
trap. It is a trap that the British and Russians had fallen into in the
past. Now it seems to be the turn of the Americans. Among those intellectuals
is Robert Fisk, a famous writer in the London-based Independent Daily,
who said, "Retaliation is a trap. In a world that was supposed to have
learned that the rule of law comes above revenge, President Bush appears
to be heading for the very disaster that Osama bin Laden has laid down
for him."
The retaliation plan that is opposed by the Yemeni public and the majority
of Muslims worldwide could be potentially dangerous for the USA. If not
well calculated, with retaliation, the USA could possibly lose a lot in
the coming war, of which Afghanistan will be a major part.
The Europeans seem to have some sense of understanding of the dangers
that lie ahead and that could rise from excessive use of force against
a Muslim nation. A prominent EU leader recently said to Al-Jazeerah Satellite
Channel, "We are not aware of what the USA is planning in terms of military
action. However, we are surely aware that we should not in any way participate
in a war that could be understood to be against Islam. Our war is against
terrorism and terrorists only. Many of our allies are Islamic and Arab
countries."
Hence, the Europeans realize that it is not wise to wage a war that
could potentially be understood to be against Islam. Yes, Arabs, including
Yemenis, agreed on fighting terrorism in all its forms. But they assert
time after time that terrorism doesn't exist only in Arab and Islamic countries.
There are terrorist organizations all over the world, some religious and
some not, some waged by states (such as Israeli terrorism), some by groups.
Why should the war only be targeted against Islamic or Arab countries?
There are groups in Columbia, groups in Asia, and groups within the USA
as well. Arabs are concerned that the words of US President Bush regarding
the 'Crusade War' have touched the issue of religion more than anything
else!
Hence, the retaliation could indeed be a trap for President Bush because
of three negative consequences that could emerge from this war. One is
the possible defeat in the war, i.e., if the USA fails to bring Osama bin
Laden to justice, which if even considered alone could be a nightmare for
the USA and its intelligent offices. The second is the possible negative
reactions of Arab and Islamic countries to the war because of pressure
exerted by the public, which could understand that this war is only a war
against Islam. This could force some leaders to divert from their supporting
tone to the USA and possibly come against it. The third, and which is also
a severe consequence, is the possible killing of innocent civilians leading
to mass immigrations that could become a humanitarian disaster. The third
consequence will have great influence on the third world countries, which
will feel that the USA is using its might to destroy and punish the civilians
of the weakest countries of the world. This image of the USA could reflect
itself unintentionally in an evil manner. Not only could the USA be the
enemy of the developing world, but equally, Osama bin Laden could rise
to be the hero of the third world.
Even though the ultimate decision to go on with using excessive force
is the USA's decision, yet it is always helpful to realize the possible
consequence of any actions taken before it is too late. In other words,
it is clever to study the circumstances carefully and understand whether
tushing into a trap that it is unaware of.

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